Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.188984 0.217744 0.250700 0.291541 0.341192 0.400101 0.476046
2025-05-04 0.147745 0.185330 0.233447 0.300836 0.394887 0.524828 0.724156
2025-05-11 0.123383 0.164569 0.221793 0.309878 0.447385 0.663888 1.053525
2025-05-18 0.105909 0.147973 0.210219 0.313522 0.490485 0.802644 1.453935
2025-05-25 0.092939 0.134776 0.199937 0.315106 0.528895 0.946710 1.950661
2025-06-01 0.082430 0.123231 0.189532 0.313134 0.559233 1.086974 2.538514
2025-06-08 0.073563 0.112788 0.178832 0.307701 0.580542 1.217015 3.208836
2025-06-15 0.068479 0.107757 0.176378 0.316896 0.634900 1.450243 4.424089
2025-06-22 0.062135 0.099676 0.167094 0.310306 0.651635 1.595766 5.517268
2025-06-29 0.057949 0.094843 0.163043 0.313683 0.693511 1.837377 7.379111
2025-07-06 0.053548 0.089083 0.156351 0.309845 0.715832 2.033024 9.394174
2025-07-13 0.050743 0.085950 0.154372 0.316315 0.768787 2.371896 13.093880
2025-07-20 0.048307 0.083313 0.153176 0.324838 0.832786 2.812570 19.143603
2025-07-27 0.045938 0.080559 0.151384 0.331669 0.895482 3.312970 28.360418
2025-08-03 0.043969 0.078380 0.150524 0.340805 0.970667 3.960388 44.403868
2025-08-10 0.041803 0.075573 0.147882 0.344606 1.029596 4.601393 68.056968
2025-08-17 0.039707 0.072701 0.144715 0.346304 1.082322 5.286669 105.446375
2025-08-24 0.037567 0.069536 0.140477 0.344058 1.119243 5.933096 160.577960
2025-08-31 0.035403 0.066132 0.135276 0.337932 1.138062 6.489488 237.396136
2025-09-07 0.034324 0.064977 0.135377 0.348289 1.236227 7.906925 498.310031
2025-09-14 0.032418 0.061842 0.130227 0.340863 1.248353 8.571343 798.102676
2025-09-21 0.031209 0.060167 0.128568 0.344667 1.319236 10.044133 1827.690114
2025-09-28 0.029719 0.057737 0.124715 0.340344 1.346881 11.118764 3838.809011